Three charts from Republican pollster Patrick Lanne of Public Opinion Strategies affirm that 2006 and 2014 are “very close analogs.” The Washington Post points out why those charts “should really worry Democrats trying to hold on to their Senate majority.” You can view the charts here. WaPo,
- With the exception of Rhode Island Sen. Lincoln Chafee (R) — who still lost — Republican Senate candidates had a very hard time significantly over-performing Bush’s approval numbers in their state.
- Late-deciding voters broke heavily for Democrats in 2006. Heavily.
- Money alone didn’t save Republicans.