Republicans are looking at big gains during the 2014 mid-term elections. However, merely a year and a half ago, the prospect was not on the horizon. In fact, “questions about the GOP’s political dexterity raised the possibility of small net Democratic gains this cycle.” Roll Call,
“The botched launch of Obamacare turned the political environment on its head. The shutdown quickly became ancient history, and Obama’s poll numbers plummeted.
“Since then, the national mood and the midterm dynamics have combined to put Democrats on the defensive.
“Unlike Senate Democrats in competitive districts, who are spending millions of dollars — or are benefiting from the millions of dollars spent on their behalf by outside groups — House Democrats have a tougher time creating identities apart from the president. That makes it more difficult for them to “localize” their contests…
“With five weeks to go, Democrats now are likely to swipe between two and six GOP House seats, while Republicans are likely to capture between six and a dozen seats from Democrats. If the breeze at the backs of Republican candidates is strong enough (sweeping in GOP nominees who would not win in a “neutral” environment), then net Republican House gains in the double digits certainly are possible.”