A new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Annenberg poll reveals that 54% of Republicans say “they’re highly interested in the upcoming elections, compared to 44 percent of Democrats who say the same.” NBC News,
Another way to look at the GOP intensity advantage: Democrats hold a four-point lead on the generic ballot, 46 percent to 42 percent. But among high-interest voters, Republicans have the edge, 51 percent to 43 percent.
“Off-year elections are about intensity, which becomes a question of which set of voters cares most,” said Democratic pollster Peter Hart. “In the opening lap of the general election, the GOP is winning.”